{"id":151745,"date":"2022-11-14T11:02:58","date_gmt":"2022-11-14T03:02:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/?post_type=pd&#038;p=151745"},"modified":"2026-01-14T11:32:40","modified_gmt":"2026-01-14T03:32:40","slug":"scenario-planning-and-strategic-conversations-foresight-strategy-innovation","status":"publish","type":"pd","link":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/prof-development\/scenario-planning-and-strategic-conversations-foresight-strategy-innovation\/","title":{"rendered":"Scenario planning and strategic conversations: foresight, strategy, innovation"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Scenario planning is an approach designed to help managers and executives, across all types of organisations, to engage with uncertainty and contextual driven change. Managing through uncertainty is increasingly seen as a critical strategic leadership capability. The ability to make sense of the changing context, to avoid premature decisions, and to identify the hidden, non-obvious, and counter-intuitive signals of contextual are the basis of ensuring the sustainability and success of an organisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Scenario planning has its roots in the work of Herman Kahn at the Hudson Institute, where Kahn coined the phrase \u201cThinking about the Unthinkable\u201d, as he challenged military planners and policy makers primarily about nuclear war and how to avoid it. Scenario planning was subsequently about in business, with a wide range of organisations, including Shell, British Airways, GE, Nokia, adopting it as part of their strategic planning process.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The scenario planning process has evolved and developed over time for use in organisations who do not have the resources or time of such large multi-nationals. Strategic conversations and organisational narratives, shaped by the scenario planning process, are now widely accepted as providing time and space to share and challenge assumptions underpinning strategic decisions. This is known as \u201cthe gentle art of re-perceiving\u201d where the basis of organising is re-defined to ensure sustainability and success in the future.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This <strong>five-day masterclass<\/strong> will provide participants with hands-on application of the scenario planning process. The five-day scenario planning process is tried and tested in a wide range of organisations. A \u2018client\u2019 organisation will be nominated from the participants and will be used throughout the five days, culminating with a presentation setting out proposals for the future. The hands-on application will help all participants to experience the process and build understanding and confidence to apply it subsequently in any organisation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Important Note<\/strong><br>Masterclasses may occasionally be subject to change, and the publication of results (for Masterclasses with assessments) typically falls outside the standard Trimester result publication timeframes. Students should be aware of these variables, especially if they may impact their planned graduation date.<\/p>\n\n\n<mimas-block \n        block-name=\"accordion\"\n        role=\"complementary\"\n        aria-label=\"Accordion content\"\n        data-segment=\"all\">\n\n                \n\n                    <div class=\"accordion\" aria-labelledby=\"accordion-title-Learning-outcomes\">\n            <button type=\"button\" class=\"accordion__heading\" aria-controls=\"Learning-outcomes\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n            <div class=\"title\" id=\"accordion-title-Learning-outcomes\">Learning outcomes<\/div>\n            <div class=\"icon\"><\/div>\n        <\/button>\n        <div class=\"accordion__content\" id=\"Learning-outcomes\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                    <ul>\n<li>A deep understanding of the scenario planning process and its role to manage strategic conversations<\/li>\n<li>An understanding of how to develop and apply scenarios for any organisation<\/li>\n<li>An understanding of how scenarios challenge managerial assumptions and compare the participants\u2019 perceptions of their \u2018client\u2019 organisation at the outset and at the conclusion of the module<\/li>\n<li>An understanding of how each individual participant copes with uncertainty and overcomes the emotional experience of an unknown outcome at the outset of the module<\/li>\n<li>A deep understanding of the process involved in \u201cthe gentle art of re-perceiving\u201d<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n        \n                            \n                    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n                    <div class=\"accordion\" aria-labelledby=\"accordion-title-Who-is-the-program-for?\">\n            <button type=\"button\" class=\"accordion__heading\" aria-controls=\"Who-is-the-program-for?\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n            <div class=\"title\" id=\"accordion-title-Who-is-the-program-for?\">Who is the program for?<\/div>\n            <div class=\"icon\"><\/div>\n        <\/button>\n        <div class=\"accordion__content\" id=\"Who-is-the-program-for?\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                    <p>This program is designed for managers and executives from any organisation to help them engage with uncertainty (and disruption) and managing the organisation\u2019s strategic conversations in the future.<\/p>\n\n        \n                            \n                    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n                    <div class=\"accordion\" aria-labelledby=\"accordion-title-Program-schedule\">\n            <button type=\"button\" class=\"accordion__heading\" aria-controls=\"Program-schedule\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n            <div class=\"title\" id=\"accordion-title-Program-schedule\">Program schedule<\/div>\n            <div class=\"icon\"><\/div>\n        <\/button>\n        <div class=\"accordion__content\" id=\"Program-schedule\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                    <table>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Day<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Title<\/strong><\/td>\n<td><strong>Facilitator<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Day 1<\/strong>:<br \/>\n9:00am \u2013 17:00pm<\/td>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li>Introduction to the scenario planning process<\/li>\n<li>Interviewing the \u2018client\u2019<\/li>\n<li>Analysing \u2018client\u2019 interview<\/li>\n<li>Establishing scenario agenda<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<td width=\"182\">Professor George Burt<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Day 2<\/strong>:<br \/>\n9:00am \u2013 17:00pm<\/td>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li>Developing the \u2018client\u2019 business idea (including presentation and feedback)<\/li>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 idea generation<\/li>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 developing critical uncertainties<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<td>Professor George Burt<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Day 3<\/strong>:<br \/>\n9:00am \u2013 17:00pm<\/td>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 developing scenario story boards<\/li>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 identifying factors driving change<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<td>Professor George Burt<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Day 4<\/strong>:<br \/>\n9:00am \u2013 17:00pm<\/td>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 identifying strategic implications of scenario stories<\/li>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 identifying strategic options<\/li>\n<li>Applying the scenario process \u2013 re-defining the business idea<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<td>Professor George Burt<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Day 5<\/strong>:<br \/>\n9:00am \u2013 17:00pm<\/td>\n<td>\n<ul>\n<li>Group presentations in plenary<\/li>\n<li>Client response<\/li>\n<li>Group reflections and de-briefing on the scenario planning process<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/td>\n<td>Professor George Burt<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n\n        \n                            \n                    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n                    <div class=\"accordion\" aria-labelledby=\"accordion-title-Credit-for-recognised-learning\">\n            <button type=\"button\" class=\"accordion__heading\" aria-controls=\"Credit-for-recognised-learning\" aria-expanded=\"false\">\n            <div class=\"title\" id=\"accordion-title-Credit-for-recognised-learning\">Credit for recognised learning<\/div>\n            <div class=\"icon\"><\/div>\n        <\/button>\n        <div class=\"accordion__content\" id=\"Credit-for-recognised-learning\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\n                    <p>When you complete this course, you can choose to study further, and may be eligible to receive up to 25 credit points towards Curtin\u2019s flagship MBA Program.<\/p>\n<p>This masterclass series includes an assessment.<\/p>\n\n        \n                            \n                    <\/div>\n<\/div>\n        \n<\/mimas-block>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This five-day masterclass will provide participants with hands-on application of the scenario planning process. The five-day scenario planning process is tried and tested in a wide range of organisations. A \u2018client\u2019 organisation will be nominated from the participants and will be used throughout the five days, culminating with a presentation setting out proposals for the future. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"parent":0,"menu_order":13,"template":"single-pd.php","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_oasis_is_in_workflow":0,"_oasis_original":0,"_oasis_task_priority":"","wds_primary_pd-categories":0,"footnotes":""},"pd-categories":[57,60],"class_list":["post-151745","pd","type-pd","status-publish","hentry","pd-categories-cbs-masterclasses","pd-categories-upcoming-masterclasses"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pd\/151745","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pd"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/pd"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pd\/151745\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":180931,"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pd\/151745\/revisions\/180931"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=151745"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"pd-categories","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.curtin.edu.au\/study\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pd-categories?post=151745"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}